Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
ATM
3 - 0
HER
78%
13%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
HER
2 - 1
CEL
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
ESP
4 - 1
HER
71%
16%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
HER
2 - 2
ALA
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
SEV
6 - 1
HER
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
VCF
2 - 0
RSO
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 3
VCF
38%
23%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
VCF
4 - 0
DEP
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
FCB
4 - 1
VCF
76%
13%
11%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
VCF
3 - 2
ATH
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |