Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
HER
1 - 3
CEL
43%
21%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
ESP
2 - 0
HER
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
ATM
5 - 1
HER
76%
14%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
HER
0 - 1
CAS
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
VCF
6 - 2
CAS
88%
8%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
OVI
1 - 1
VCF
44%
21%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
VCF
8 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
DEP
0 - 3
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
VCF
4 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |