Hércules vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
UES
2 - 1
HER
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
HER
4 - 0
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
XER
0 - 1
HER
36%
29%
34%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAR
35%
31%
35%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
UPL
2 - 3
RCF
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
UPL
1 - 1
CDT
47%
30%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
UES
3 - 1
UPL
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
UPL
4 - 0
VAL
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
XER
2 - 1
UPL
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |