Hércules vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
CAS
3 - 0
HER
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
HER
0 - 0
LOG
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
HER
2 - 1
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
DEP
4 - 1
HER
73%
19%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
HER
2 - 0
CAD
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1971 |
UPL
0 - 0
GRA
26%
27%
46%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1971 |
GRA
3 - 1
UPL
70%
17%
13%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
UPL
2 - 0
COL
52%
26%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
DEP
2 - 0
UPL
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
UPL
0 - 1
CAD
33%
29%
38%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |