Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
Hércules vs UD Vall de Uxó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
RMA
28%
26%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
HER
1 - 0
SLA
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
HER
0 - 0
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 0
HER
78%
14%
7%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Vall de Uxó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
GAV
3 - 2
VAL
79%
12%
8%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
2 - 0
ATL
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCA
1 - 2
VAL
88%
9%
4%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |