Hércules vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
HER
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
HER
2 - 0
SAB
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
EJE
0 - 0
HER
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
ALC
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 2
HER
29%
30%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
UBC
1 - 2
LLE
28%
30%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
BAD
0 - 0
UBC
55%
26%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
UBC
3 - 0
VAL
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 1
UBC
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UBC
0 - 0
COR
21%
27%
52%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |