Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CDT
0 - 0
HER
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
CIU
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
LLE
0 - 1
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
XER
1 - 0
HER
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
HER
4 - 0
NUM
20%
28%
52%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
XER
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAS
75%
18%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 0
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMC
65%
21%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |