Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1996 |
HER
3 - 0
SEV
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
LOG
3 - 2
HER
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1996 |
HER
2 - 0
LEV
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
HER
1 - 0
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
DEP
35%
29%
37%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
CEL
2 - 1
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
24%
24%
53%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 0
CDT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
EXT
1 - 2
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |