Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
26.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 2
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 3
RMA
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
VAD
3 - 1
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
CAD
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
FCB
3 - 1
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 1
SEV
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
ATH
2 - 0
SPO
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
RAC
0 - 1
SPO
47%
29%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
SPO
1 - 2
OSA
68%
20%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |