Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Hércules vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
HER
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
GIR
2 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
HER
2 - 2
SEV
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
HER
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 2
ATM
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
VAD
1 - 1
SPO
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
FCB
1 - 0
SPO
83%
12%
6%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |