Hércules vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
HER
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 3
HER
24%
28%
49%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
CDE
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BAD
0 - 0
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SDF
0 - 0
VIL
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CDE
0 - 1
SDF
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SDF
1 - 1
COR
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
ONT
3 - 0
SDF
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
SDF
65%
22%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |