Hércules vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ELC
2 - 0
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
HER
3 - 0
PON
62%
24%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
RMC
1 - 1
CAS
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
RMC
0 - 1
CAD
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 0
RMC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
RMC
0 - 2
MUR
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
CDT
3 - 2
RMC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |