Hércules vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
ATM
2 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
SEV
2 - 1
HER
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1980 |
HER
2 - 1
TRJ
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
TRJ
1 - 2
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
2 - 1
GDE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
2 - 0
LEV
72%
17%
10%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1980 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMC
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
MUR
1 - 0
RMC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
3 - 1
RAC
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |