Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
GRA
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 3
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 0
HER
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GET
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
OSA
2 - 1
ZAR
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ZAR
0 - 1
NUM
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
ATH
1 - 4
ZAR
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 2
ZAR
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |