Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
FCB
8%
16%
76%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 0
HER
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RAC
54%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 2
ZAR
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 0
LEV
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 0
ZAR
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |