Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
VAD
1 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1981 |
HER
3 - 3
SEV
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
SEV
0 - 1
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
HER
0 - 1
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1981 |
SEV
0 - 2
HER
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
ZAR
1 - 4
SEV
62%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ATM
1 - 0
ZAR
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ZAR
3 - 2
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1981 |
ESP
1 - 4
ZAR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
RAC
0 - 1
ZAR
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |