Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
3 - 0
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
HER
3 - 3
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
RMA
0 - 0
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
HER
0 - 0
ATM
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
SLA
1 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 2
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
ZAR
8 - 1
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
CAD
3 - 1
ZAR
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ATM
3 - 1
ZAR
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ZAR
1 - 3
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |