Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 1
HER
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
HER
0 - 0
SEV
57%
26%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
HER
4 - 1
TAL
77%
15%
9%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
FCB
1 - 1
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
ZAR
0 - 0
FCB
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
ATH
3 - 1
ZAR
60%
22%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
ZAR
1 - 0
GIM
93%
5%
2%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SLA
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
MAL
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |