Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
BET
4 - 3
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
HER
4 - 1
ATM
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
VCF
2 - 1
HER
55%
20%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
HER
6 - 1
CEL
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ESP
3 - 3
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 1
FCB
26%
21%
53%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ATH
1 - 1
ZAR
93%
5%
2%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
BET
0 - 0
ZAR
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
ZAR
4 - 3
ATM
48%
20%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
VCF
0 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
13%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |