Hércules vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
47%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
HER
3 - 0
CAR
77%
13%
10%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
HER
4 - 0
LEV
85%
10%
6%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
GIM
1 - 2
HER
22%
22%
56%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
HER
4 - 0
ELC
69%
16%
15%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
ZAR
2 - 0
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
LEV
0 - 0
ZAR
22%
22%
56%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
ELC
1 - 0
ZAR
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
ZAR
8 - 0
CAR
88%
8%
4%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
GIM
2 - 2
ZAR
18%
22%
60%
|
77 | 29 | 48 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
ZAR
2 - 0
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |