Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-1
Hércules vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
COM
1 - 1
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
HER
4 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
HER
0 - 0
EIB
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
MER
1 - 0
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
HER
2 - 1
ESP
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
RSO
2 - 0
RAC
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
ATM
1 - 2
RSO
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
RSO
2 - 2
OVI
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
DEP
0 - 1
RSO
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
RSO
1 - 0
VAD
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |