Hércules vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
ALA
1 - 1
HER
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
HER
2 - 0
LIN
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
REC
1 - 1
HER
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
HER
1 - 1
XER
71%
20%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
ATB
2 - 3
HER
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
OVI
0 - 0
CFC
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
CCF
1 - 0
OVI
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
OVI
1 - 0
DEP
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
OVI
1 - 1
ALA
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
LIN
2 - 1
OVI
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |