Hércules vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ATH
6 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
HER
3 - 2
ATM
21%
21%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
61%
19%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 1
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 3
OVI
33%
21%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 0
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ATH
2 - 4
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |