Hércules vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SEV
7 - 2
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
HER
4 - 2
DEP
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
FCB
4 - 4
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAS
5 - 2
HER
34%
23%
44%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
OVI
4 - 4
CAS
86%
8%
6%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 3
ATM
52%
21%
28%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
SEV
10 - 0
OVI
70%
16%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
CEL
2 - 0
OVI
57%
18%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 2
CEL
72%
14%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |