Hércules vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
ALB
2 - 1
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
CIE
0 - 0
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
HER
2 - 0
ALI
80%
12%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
AGU
0 - 2
HER
32%
24%
43%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
HER
5 - 1
ALM
86%
9%
5%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
IMP
4 - 1
RAY
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
IMP
6 - 0
LOR
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
CFC
2 - 2
IMP
84%
10%
7%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
IMP
3 - 1
VIJ
89%
7%
4%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
IMP
3 - 1
ELD
39%
23%
39%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +2 |