Hércules vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
CDO
2 - 0
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
HER
4 - 3
LLE
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
HER
0 - 3
VCF
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
UDL
3 - 2
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
HER
0 - 0
EIB
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
RJA
1 - 1
OSA
31%
30%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
LEV
2 - 0
RJA
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
RJA
0 - 0
ALA
31%
29%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
LEG
2 - 1
RJA
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |