Hércules vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
ESP
4 - 2
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
HER
0 - 0
ESP
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
HER
2 - 0
CON
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
HER
2 - 1
XER
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
RJA
1 - 0
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
RJA
2 - 3
VAL
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
CEU
2 - 2
RJA
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAS
49%
27%
25%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |