Hércules vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1953 |
DEP
3 - 1
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
HER
2 - 0
CAT
60%
20%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
CEL
5 - 1
HER
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
HER
2 - 0
CDC
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1953 |
AVI
2 - 0
HER
39%
22%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1953 |
AVI
1 - 3
CDC
57%
21%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
AVI
1 - 0
DEP
36%
22%
42%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
CAT
6 - 1
AVI
75%
14%
11%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
AVI
4 - 1
CEL
31%
22%
47%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 1953 |
AVI
2 - 0
HER
39%
22%
38%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |