Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
HER
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
MLL
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
RAY
2 - 2
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CAG
2 - 1
RAY
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RAY
0 - 1
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
POZ
0 - 3
RAY
11%
20%
70%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VAD
3 - 2
RAY
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |