Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CCF
0 - 3
HER
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
CAD
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
ELC
0 - 2
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
SEV
3 - 4
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
HUE
1 - 3
RAY
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RAY
1 - 0
MUR
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
RAY
1 - 1
ZAM
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZAM
0 - 1
RAY
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
RAY
1 - 0
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |