Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
ELC
1 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
ATB
2 - 3
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
NUM
0 - 0
HER
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
HER
0 - 0
OSA
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
LEV
0 - 0
HER
40%
28%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
JER
2 - 2
RAY
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
RAY
1 - 1
OSA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
OSA
1 - 3
RAY
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
RAY
3 - 0
LEV
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
ALA
3 - 0
RAY
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |