Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1987 |
HER
4 - 1
PBL
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
DEP
1 - 0
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
PBL
1 - 0
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
HER
1 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
CDT
2 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
RAY
2 - 0
GAN
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
RAY
4 - 1
XER
64%
23%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
GAN
1 - 1
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
REC
2 - 0
RAY
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
RAY
1 - 1
SSC
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |