Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
HER
3 - 1
XER
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
CEL
3 - 0
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
FIG
2 - 1
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
DEP
3 - 1
RAY
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
RAY
0 - 0
OVI
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CFC
0 - 0
RAY
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
RAY
2 - 1
CAS
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
FCB
4 - 0
RAY
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |