Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
SAB
1 - 1
HER
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
HER
1 - 0
ELD
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
RMC
0 - 1
HER
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
HER
1 - 2
CAD
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
RAY
2 - 1
CFC
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
SDE
2 - 1
RAY
26%
31%
43%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
CCF
1 - 3
RAY
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
RAY
1 - 0
OVI
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
ALA
1 - 1
RAY
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |