Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
HER
0 - 0
RSO
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
3 - 0
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
RAY
0 - 4
RSO
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ZAR
2 - 0
RAY
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
RAY
2 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ATM
0 - 0
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
RAY
0 - 0
RAC
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |