Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-3
Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
1 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
HER
1 - 1
MLL
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
LOG
1 - 1
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
UES
1 - 1
HER
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
HER
1 - 0
BET
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
1 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
CAD
1 - 1
RAY
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
0 - 0
RCF
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
0 - 4
LEV
75%
18%
8%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
SEV
3 - 0
RAY
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |