Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
MLL
1 - 0
HER
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
HER
0 - 2
DEP
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
25%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
VAL
0 - 1
HER
48%
28%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
UES
2 - 1
HER
59%
26%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDT
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
VCF
3 - 1
RAY
83%
12%
6%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
CUL
3 - 1
RAY
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
2 - 2
RAY
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
RAY
4 - 0
GIM
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |