Hércules vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
29.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1971 |
HER
2 - 0
GAN
73%
16%
10%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
RCF
3 - 0
HER
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
RAC
4 - 1
HER
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
GAN
0 - 1
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
HER
2 - 2
CCF
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1971 |
RAY
1 - 0
CFC
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
RAY
2 - 1
COL
73%
18%
8%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
RAY
1 - 1
DEP
39%
31%
31%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
CFC
2 - 1
RAY
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
CAD
0 - 0
RAY
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |