Hércules vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SDF
1 - 1
HER
23%
28%
50%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HER
3 - 2
PER
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
ZAR
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CDE
1 - 0
HER
29%
28%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
PXD
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PXD
2 - 2
ZAR
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BAD
4 - 1
PXD
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PXD
1 - 1
SAB
13%
23%
64%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OLO
1 - 1
PXD
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |