Hércules vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
PXD
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
ATZ
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HER
1 - 2
AGU
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ATZ
0 - 1
ORI
30%
29%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 0
ALC
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NUC
0 - 0
ORI
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
ORI
90%
9%
2%
|
45 | 88 | 43 | -1 |