Hércules vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
HOS
0 - 1
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
HER
1 - 0
SAB
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
LLE
2 - 2
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
ALI
0 - 0
ORI
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 1
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ORI
3 - 1
MLL
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 0
ORI
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ORI
2 - 0
CEM
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |