Hércules vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 2
HER
36%
30%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
REC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CCF
1 - 2
HER
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
PON
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GUA
5 - 1
NUM
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 1
SAB
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 4
NUM
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 0
ALM
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |