Hércules vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
LLE
1 - 0
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
HER
1 - 1
LOG
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
RAY
3 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
HER
1 - 3
ATB
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
HER
2 - 1
MLL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 0
OSA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
CDB
2 - 1
NUM
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
NUM
1 - 1
LEG
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
MER
2 - 0
NUM
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
REC
3 - 2
NUM
36%
30%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |