Hércules vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
5º
1º
21
8º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
HER
1 - 2
BUR
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EUR
1 - 0
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
CER
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
HER
20%
26%
55%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NUC
1 - 1
EUR
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
NUC
0 - 2
SDF
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CER
0 - 0
NUC
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NUC
0 - 1
PIN
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AND
4 - 1
NUC
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |