Hércules vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FIG
1 - 3
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
AZK
0 - 3
HER
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
BAD
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIJ
0 - 1
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
OSA
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 0
LEV
57%
24%
18%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NOV
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FIG
2 - 1
NOV
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |