Hércules vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GIR
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
HER
0 - 0
YEC
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 2
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
HER
3 - 0
CEM
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RCD
0 - 1
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAS
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FIG
1 - 0
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAL
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 2
MLL
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |