Hércules vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
GAN
0 - 0
HER
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
MLL
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
ALZ
0 - 1
HER
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
HER
3 - 1
HOS
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2001 |
GIM
3 - 1
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
NOV
3 - 0
CEM
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
CAS
3 - 0
NOV
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
NOV
6 - 2
BUR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
NOV
2 - 1
GAN
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
MLL
0 - 0
NOV
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |