Hércules vs Mirandés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
HER
44%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
SPO
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 2
MIR
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
MUR
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAB
3 - 1
MIR
39%
28%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MIR
3 - 1
CCF
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |