Hércules vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
CSP
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ELD
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
NUC
1 - 0
HER
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
CDE
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 2
ELD
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NUC
2 - 0
MEL
54%
27%
19%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 0
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 0
CDE
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 1
MEL
53%
26%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |