Hércules vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
RJA
2 - 0
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
60%
19%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
HER
4 - 1
PUL
70%
17%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
HER
3 - 0
MLL
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
ORI
0 - 1
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 0
GRA
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
68%
16%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ATB
1 - 3
MEL
56%
20%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 2
CAT
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |